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Growing uncertainty around the impact of tariffs, immigration, government spending, and the ongoing war in Ukraine is set to test what has been a very resilient US economy. Indeed, there have been signs of slowing in recent months, but it is to be expected given the lagged effects of monetary policy tightening. Following a strong […]
Read MoreThe global stock market rally continued in 2024 against a backdrop of continued global economic expansion and moderating inflation. Most asset categories exhibited positive calendar year returns, though the rise in Treasury bond yields and strong US dollar created a headwind in the fourth quarter. While the economic backdrop should remain supportive of corporate profits, […]
Read MoreWe are reaching out with our latest market review and investment outlook commentary. The linked file includes a review of recent financial market results, our assessment of the macro backdrop, and an update on portfolio strategy. The piece also includes a discussion of the current level of concentration in the US equity market. Here’s an […]
Read MoreAfter the broad-based downturn in 2022, most asset categories rebounded in 2023 against a backdrop of continued economic expansion and moderating inflation. Global stock and bond markets experienced a strong year-end rally as the US Fed signaled a potential shift to monetary easing. Yet, positive surprises for the economy, disinflation, and Fed rate cuts may […]
Read MoreDespite some weakness thus far in August, the combination of continued global economic expansion with moderating inflation has provided a favorable backdrop for riskier assets thus far in 2023. So far, the economy and corporate profits have proved more resilient than the consensus expected. Despite an inverted yield curve and deteriorating leading economic indicators, the […]
Read MoreRecent market concerns have centered on the banking crisis that began with Silicon Valley Bank, but attention has now turned to the debt situation of the United States Government. The US hit its $31.4 trillion debt limit on January 19, which means the government cannot technically issue any new debt, and lawmakers have yet to agree […]
Read MoreTo state the obvious, it’s been an extremely difficult year for investors as markets digest higher inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainty. Both stocks and bonds have experienced broad declines while asset categories that benefit from higher inflation, such as commodities, have generated gains. As of the close on Friday, September 16, 2022, the […]
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